TIME SERIES ANALYSIS

Antonia LONGOBARDI TIME SERIES ANALYSIS

8860900006
DEPARTMENT OF CIVIL ENGINEERING
Corso di Dottorato (D.M.226/2021)
RISK AND SUSTAINABILITY IN CIVIL, ARCHITECTURAL AND ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING SYSTEMS
2022/2023

CFUHOURSACTIVITY
321LESSONS
Objectives
EXPECTED LEARNING RESULTS AND COMPETENCE TO ACQUIRE:
KNOWLEDGE OF STOCHASTIC PROCESSES AND OF THE TOOLS NECESSARY FOR THE RELATED EXPLORATORY ANALYSIS AND MODELLING.
KNOWLEDGE AND UNDERSTANDING:
ACQUIRE THE KNOWLEDGE NECESSARY TO UNDERSTAND THE CHARACTERISTICS AND PROPERTIES OF A STOCHASTIC PROCESS. ACQUIRE KNOWLEDGE ABOUT THE DIFFERENT MODELS USED FOR TIME SERIES SIMULATION.
KNOWLEDGE AND UNDERSTANDING APPLIED:
KNOWING HOW TO RECOGNIZE AND ANALYZE THE PROPERTIES OF A STOCHASTIC PROCESS AND KNOW HOW TO APPLY TIME SERIES SIMULATION MODELS.
AUTONOMY OF JUDGMENT:
KNOWING HOW TO IDENTIFY THE BEST TOOLS FOR THE INTERPRETATION AND MODELING OF A GIVEN STOCHASTIC PROCESS.
COMMUNICATION SKILLS:
KNOWING HOW TO ILLUSTRATE THE CHARACTERISTICS AND PROPERTIES OF A STOCHASTIC PROCESS. KNOWING HOW TO ILLUSTRATE THE CHARACTERISTICS AND PERFORMANCES OF A SIMULATION MODEL OF A STOCHASTIC PROCESS.
LEARNING ABILITY:
KNOWING HOW TO APPLY THE KNOWLEDGE ACQUIRED TO CONTEXTS DIFFERENT FROM THOSE PRESENTED DURING THE COURSE.
Prerequisites
KNOWLEDGE OF THE ELEMENTS OF STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY IS RECOMMENDED.
Contents
STOCHASTIC PROCESSES, STATIONARITY, STATISTICAL TESTS FOR STATIONARITY, AUTOCORRELATION FUNCTIONS, TIME SERIES DECOMPOSITION, REGRESSION ANALYSIS, REGRESSION TECHNIQUES, LINEAR AND NON-LINEAR REGRESSION, MULTIPLE REGRESSION, ARIMA PROCESSES, SARIMA PROCESSES, CONSTRUCTION OF ARIMA MODELS, APPLICATION EXAMPLES.
Teaching Methods
THE TEACHING OF A TOTAL OF 3 CFU / 21 HOURS, IS DIVIDED INTO LECTURES (2 CFU / 14 HOURS) AND EXERCISES (1 CFU / 7 HOURS). A GROUP ACTIVITY TO BE DISCUSSED AT THE FINAL INTERVIEW IS ALSO PLANNED.
Verification of learning
THE ACHIEVEMENT OF THE TRAINING OBJECTIVES WILL BE ASSESSED THROUGH A FINAL INTERVIEW.
Texts
NOTES OF THE LESSONS PROVIDED BY THE TEACHERS.
More Information
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